OK. Tuesday sees the shortlist of 12 albums by UK and Irish artists revealed.
Here’s my best guess at who will be on it.
I think this year’s list will be dominated (and won) by female artists.
So Adele will probably be favourite.
Closely followed by PJ Harvey.
With a squeak for Anna Calvi.
Rumer may get an MOR nod.
Rachel and The Unthanks will get the customary folk nomination.
Tiny Tempah gets the dance vote
So too will Freindly Fires who cross the dance/Indie divide.
Big names on the list will include Elbow and possibly Robert Plant again with a possibility of Radiohead’s Hail the thief sneaking in.
Making up the numbers will be indy favourites The Vaccines and Foals.
Two outsiders that I’d like to see there are King Creosote and Jon Hopkins and in the Jazz camp we might see Penguin Cafe.
So here’s my prediction…
PJ Harvey CHECK
Anna Calvi CHECK
Rachel and the Unthanks FAIL
Tiny Tempah CHECK
Friendly Fires FAIL
Robert Plant FAIL
Penguin Cafe FAIL (Shoulda had the courage of my convictions and gone for King Creosote)