When Theresa May called a snap election in the spring one could only assume a single outcome.
A massive Tory landslide victory.
Assuredly that the ‘No deal is better than a bad deal’ hypocrite, that didn’t want anything to do with Brexit, would march imperiously into power as, meanwhile, the bumbling idiot, that Jeremy Corbyn was portrayed as, made a total fool of himself. (Allied by his hapless henchman in Scotland.)
Nicola Sturgeon’s second independence vote campaigning (stuck record out of tune with the electorate for now at least) wasn’t helping in Scotland. It gave ammo to the force of nature that is Ruth Davidson and although it wouldn’t fuel a Labour revival it might also help a pathetic Lib Dem campaign in a few key seats (mine included) up here.
Things have changed.
Jeremy Corbyn has proven to be a passionate and believable campaigner for real issues that people believe in. His Manifesto touched a lot of nerves.
(I accept he wasn’t good on Woman’s Hour)
Sturgeon has (bravely in my opinion) dropped the second independence call in the SNP manifesto.
May has revealed herself to be more bumbling and inept than Corbyn and actually just a bit shit at being a Prime Minister.
And so we see this.
Not a landslide.
Not even a victory of sorts.
Now, of course, we all now know that the pollsters are more inept at their job than Jeremy Paxman last night but maybe we are seeing a realisation that with UKIP’s job done, and the Brexit vote being extremely narrow, and the Tories being inept, and Corbyn being a man of principle, and Sturgeon calling the independence dogs off, and neoliberalism taking one up the arse that there’s a possibility;
- SNP will recover their strength in Scotland
- Labour UKIP voters will return to Labour because they see May has no grip on Brexit negotiation
- (and that they regret being described as racists)
- The Tories will end up losing, not gaining, seats
- Brexit will be fucked
I sincerely hope Brexit will be fucked and that this country will resume a degree of Social democracy that befits it.